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Oct 04 2011

Libya in the balance

As I write this, the battle for Sirte, Colonel Gaddafi’s birthplace, seems to be entering the final phase. As many as 10,000 people have fled the city, NATO airstrikes continue and reports of major casualties and an acute shortage of medical supplies reinforce the hope that the fighting will cease soon. Then only Bani Walid will remain among Libya’s major cities in the hands of Gaddafi loyalists.

Last week in Tripoli the sense of triumphalism was palpable. [Read more…]

Written by AnnaPurna Consulting · Categorized: Country analysis, International relations, Political uprising in Middle East and North Africa, Uncategorized · Tagged: Gaddafi, Libya, NATO airstrikes, regime change, Sirte, Tripoli

Jul 11 2011

First mover dis-advantage

Whatever happened to Tunisia? The most unlikely starting point of the political turmoil that has swept the Arab world has dropped out of the headlines. While Tunisia wrestles with the realisation that toppling a flaky leader is, in this case, a lot easier than root and branch regime change, the news crews and international affairs pundits have moved on. [Read more…]

Written by AnnaPurna Consulting · Categorized: Country analysis, Political uprising in Middle East and North Africa, Uncategorized · Tagged: Assad, Bahrain, budget deadlock, Colonel Gaddafi, Euro-zone crisis, hydrocarbon wealth, international affairs, Libya, South Sudan, Thai elections, Tunisia

Mar 04 2011

End of the road rage

My colleagues are departing for North Africa. And I am sitting here left behind in central London wishing I was going with them. History is being made and I want to see it up close.

But what kind of history? Commentators vie with each other for the most appropriate comparison.

– “Is it like 1989 and the fall of the Berlin Wall?”

– “No, this is the new 1968 and The Prague Spring?”

– “No it isn’t, this is just like 1848 and the spate of European revolutions that swept the continent.” [Read more…]

Written by AnnaPurna Consulting · Categorized: Country analysis, International relations, Political uprising in Middle East and North Africa, Uncategorized · Tagged: 1848 European revolutions, Berlin Wall, bureaucracy, Egypt, ideology, Libya, Muhammad Al Bouazizi, North Africa, organised nationalism, Prague Spring, religion, rising food prices, Tolstoy, Tunisia

Feb 25 2011

From hero to villain

Do you think former British Prime Minister Tony Blair is embarrassed at the news footage now being regularly replayed on television around the world of him embracing Colonel Gaddafi during his visit to Tripoli in 2004?

Fleetingly, I think is the answer. [Read more…]

Written by AnnaPurna Consulting · Categorized: International relations, Political risk analysis, Political uprising in Middle East and North Africa, Uncategorized · Tagged: autocracy, Burma, Colonel Gaddafi, diplomacy, geopolitical unpredictability, hydro-carbons, Iran, Libya, North Korea, Political realignment, Sudan, Tony Blair, Tripoli, Zimbabwe

Feb 22 2011

The view from Burma

If I was Aung San Suu Kyi, I would be extremely ticked off.

I would be sitting there in Burma watching events unfold in Tunisia, Egypt, Bahrain, Libya and I would be thinking:

“Hey. What about me?” [Read more…]

Written by AnnaPurna Consulting · Categorized: International relations, Political uprising in Middle East and North Africa, Uncategorized · Tagged: Aung San Suu Kyi, Bahrain, Benghazi, Burma, Burmese junta, democracy, Egypt, geo-politics is back, Libya, North Africa, political protest, political reform, rising food prices, Tripoli, Tunisia, unemployment

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